BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Northern Illinois 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Northern Illinois 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.64 |
22.10 (-4.54) |
26.55 |
19.41 (-7.13) |
19.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
372.55 |
345.47 (-27.08) |
351.00 |
305.08 (-45.92) |
305.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
5.09 (-0.44) |
6.14 |
5.47 (-0.67) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.27 |
40.60 (+7.33) |
21.82 |
32.13 (+10.31) |
32.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
391.55 |
451.52 (+59.98) |
309.64 |
388.81 (+79.18) |
388.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
6.65 (+0.84) |
5.15 |
6.24 (+1.09) |
6.24 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Boston College |
23.11 |
34.12 |
+11.01 |
57.23 |
32.35% |
W 27-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Southern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 11-14 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Nebraska |
11.36 |
25.24 |
+13.88 |
36.60 |
27.74% |
L 11-35 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Tulsa |
30.74 |
23.70 |
-7.05 |
54.44 |
61.30% |
L 14-22 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Toledo |
22.31 |
33.52 |
+11.21 |
55.82 |
32.02% |
L 33-35 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Akron |
29.44 |
13.13 |
-16.31 |
42.56 |
76.16% |
W 55-14 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Ohio |
17.92 |
20.18 |
+2.26 |
38.10 |
46.38% |
W 23-13 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Eastern Michigan |
25.69 |
12.64 |
-13.06 |
38.33 |
70.94% |
W 20-13 |
4-4 |
| 2023-10-31 |
@Central Michigan |
28.85 |
23.64 |
-5.21 |
52.48 |
58.35% |
L 31-37 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-08 |
Ball State |
24.55 |
13.19 |
-11.36 |
37.75 |
68.22% |
L 17-20 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-15 |
Western Michigan |
34.70 |
27.23 |
-7.48 |
61.93 |
61.99% |
W 24-0 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Kent State |
37.23 |
14.13 |
-23.10 |
51.37 |
87.05% |
W 37-27 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
Arkansas State |
27.60 |
26.97 |
-0.62 |
54.57 |
51.00% |
W 21-19 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.00% |
| 2-11 |
0.04% |
| 3-10 |
0.31% |
| 4-9 |
1.75% |
| 5-8 |
5.99% |
| 6-7 |
13.63% |
| 7-6 |
21.94% |
| 8-5 |
24.43% |
| 9-4 |
18.64% |
| 10-3 |
9.48% |
| 11-2 |
3.15% |
| 12-1 |
0.58% |
| 13-0 |
0.06% |